He and several other brothers had again gathered to hunt Javelina. “But all by itself, it doesn’t mean that we need to suddenly say, ‘OK, there’s double the tsunami hazard as before.’ It just points to one possible mechanism that could mean that the tsunami hazard could be greater than previously thought.It was in February, 1964, that Brother Branham’s ministry reached into the literal shaking of the earth.
“What we need to do is factor in the evidence that this paper has given us to build better models for all of that to refine and improve the scenarios that are being prepared for,” said Tobin. He explained that it would be premature to jump to any conclusions or start modifying how the Pacific north-west or other areas prepare for tsunamis. Harold Tobin, director of the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network and professor of earth and space sciences at the University of Washington, cautioned that while this study reveals an interesting new finding, further research is needed to fully factor in these other variables. There are many other factors that come into play, including the slope of the seafloor and the overall topography. It changes the risk, essentially, and how it’s spatially distributed.”īut of course, this outer wedge is not the only variable that can influence the size of a tsunami. It changes also, in a more practical sense, basically the price of insurance for real estate. “You need to change where you plan to build the infrastructure, like hospitals and schools. “If you prepare for a 30-meter tsunami, and a 60-meter one comes in, you basically need to double the height of your evacuation zones,” he said. It’s behind such subduction zones as Makran (in Pakistan and Iran), Aleutian (in Alaska) and Lesser Antilles (in the Caribbean), according to the authors.īarbot explained that the findings need to be further validated, but they could ultimately lead not only to changes in tsunami predictions, but also to emergency preparedness in these regions. When compared with the 30 other subduction zones analyzed by the study’s authors, Cascadia was ranked fifth in terms of tsunami severity. Although there’s a range of predictions for the Big One, that is roughly twice as high as some of the most severe previously considered scenarios. According to their research, that suggests that the tsunami triggered by the earthquake could reach higher than 200 feet (61 meters). The site, according to the authors, has a fairly large outer wedge (running between 15 and 43km). Photograph: Mark Goodnow/AFP/Getty Images The Cascadia subduction zone runs from Vancouver Island in Canada (pictured) to northern California. Its last Big One was in 1700, and current estimates point to about a 15% chance of a 9.0-magnitude earthquake in the next 50 years.Ī 2015 Pulitzer prize-winning New Yorker article brought widespread attention to the subduction zone, describing its next full-scale quake “as the worst natural disaster in the history of North America, outside of the 2010 Haiti earthquake”. It runs from Vancouver Island, Canada, down to northern California, and is poised for its next large earthquake. Towards the top of that list was the 600-mile Cascadia subduction zone. And they can provide a pathway for the rupture to go up, instead of going left,” he explained.įrom there, they used these findings to make tsunami predictions about dozens of other active subduction zones around the “ring of fire”, a nearly 25,000-mile path where most of the world’s earthquakes occur. And so, in an outer wedge you have all of these books, and all of these faults in between.
#Los angeles earth quake prophecy full#
“Imagine a bookshelf full of books, and you take the books and you tilt them all 45 degrees … The interface between any book is a fault. The wider it is, Barbot explained, the more faults there are, the more chances there are to move the seafloor and thus the more extreme the tsunami may be. They found a correlative relationship between the maximum tsunami height and the outer wedge. These rare events involve less powerful earthquakes (the authors looked at those measuring 7.1- to 8.2-magnitude) that produce huge tsunamis and have long puzzled scientists. And that’s the case in the Pacific north-west.”įor about two years, he and co-author Qiang Qiu, of the South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, studied 11 “tsunami earthquakes” that have taken place across the world over the past 200 years. “There are places where tiny, so great news,” said Barbot, an associate professor in earth science at the University of Southern California. The connection adds a new element to consider when making tsunami predictions, one that the authors suggest could mean heightened worst-case scenario predictions for some faults, including Cascadia.
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